tonyear.joos_2013_monte_carlo

tonyear.joos_2013_monte_carlo#

tonyear.joos_2013_monte_carlo(runs: int = 100, t_horizon: int = 1001, **kwargs) Tuple[DataFrame, ndarray][source]#

Runs a monte carlo simulation for the Joos_2013 baseline IRF curve.

This function uses uncertainty parameters for the Joos_2013 curve calculated by Olivie and Peters (2013): https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/4/267/2013/

Parameters:
runsint

Number of runs for Monte Carlo simulation. Must be >1.

t_horizonint

Length of the time horizon over which baseline curve is calculated (years)

Returns:
summarypd.DataFrame

Dataframe with ‘mean’, ‘+sigma’, and ‘-sigma’ columns summarizing results of Monte Carlo simulation.

resultsnp.ndarray

Results from all Monte Carlo runs.